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Site Selection for the Fuel Cell Industry: An Outlook for 2008April 2008 by Justin Sabrsula, AngelouEconomics Project Associate In our 2008 Outlook series, AE's Justin Sabrsula describes the decisions facing communities and site selectors in this innovative and growing industry. Fuel cell technologies have finally begun to show commerical promise. Fuel cell technologies, once the hottest and most-hyped sector of the renewable energy technology market, have finally begun to show promise as commercialized products. Fuel cell technologies are benefiting from years of continued commercialization research, as well as several emerging trends affecting the power, consumer electronics, and transportation markets. As fuel cells and associated technologies move from the lab bench to the production line, fuel cell manufacturers will increasingly focus on how to cheaply produce fuel cells while continue to innovate in their product lines. To best understand how to site fuel cell manufacturing plants and R&D facilities, industry executives should think strategically about expansions as an opportunity to strengthen their core business through attracting and retaining talent and locating close to end-users in the electric utility, consumer electronics, and transportation markets. Industry executives must take care to not be awed by large incentives packages for short-term gains, and understand that in an emerging industry like fuel cells, companies with the best talent and ideas will win long-term while those with cheaper-cost facilities located in areas where employees do not want to live will fall short of success. What are the origins of the fuel cell industry? The modern origins of the fuel cell industry date to the space race of the 1950s and 1960s. As part of the Gemini and Apollo programs, NASA and its contractors revised fuel cell technologies to create electricity and water from two readily available rocket fuels, hydrogen and oxygen. Over time, NASA and its contractors expanded their interests in fuel cells in the 1970s and 1980s to other applications, especially in the automotive and stationary power sectors. From this early beginning, a variety of technologies were developed that could run not just on hydrogen and oxygen, but also on hydrogen derived from reformulated fossil fuels such as gasoline or natural gas as well as from biofuels like ethanol and methanol.
According to industry analyst PricewaterhouseCoopers, today there are six primary types of fuel cells that are being developed to meet the needs of various end users. Each technology differs significantly from others, both in size, scope, and power delivery as well as in materials and manufacturing techniques required for production. The generally recognized types of fuel cells include:
Importantly, manufacturing (and thus site selection) requirements for the six fuel cell types vary greatly. The types of fuel cells that will ultimately be commercialized most quickly, however, depend on the market trends shaping the fuel cell industry. What trends are shaping the fuel cell industry? Fuel cells are the least commercialized technology of the major categories of renewable energy production (biofuels, wind power, solar, and fuel cells). However, fuel cell commercialization is proceeding across different markets, each with defining trends that separate companies into several niches. From 2006 to 2007, publicly-traded fuel cell companies, which represent approximately one-third of the total investment in the fuel cells market, increased their revenues by 59% to $416 million, invested $213 million in research and development, increased employment 10% to approximately 3,400 employees industry-wide, while market-capitalization increased 20% to $3.8 billion according to PricewaterhouseCoopers. While the fuel cell industry as a whole has yet to turn a profit, fuel cells are expected to grow from a $1.5 billion per year industry in 2007 to a $15 billion industry in 2017. This growth is led by a rising recognition of several problems that fuel cells are uniquely designed to fix. With the emergence of global warming as a widely accepted problem in search of solutions, as well as the continued search for a reliable and affordable replacement for the internal combustion engine, fuel cell technologies promise to fill the gap between polluting internal combustion engines and pure electric cars. In addition, fuel cells are finding niche applications in consumer electronics as mobile device makers seek out better ways of powering hungry mobile devices without sacrificing weight or bulk. However, most fuel cell companies remain in research and development and pre-production mode. As companies begin to transition to commercial products in bulk over the next several years, industry executives should be aware of the site selection opportunities for their businesses as they expand out of business incubators and small-scale lab space into more expansive manufacturing and office space. With this transition in mind, the most important site selection factors for the fuel cell industry are presented below. Site Selection Factors Fuel cell companies seeking locations for expansion into commercial production are likely to face several obstacles to finding appropriate facilities, including the need to define manufacturing processes and the lack of industry-standard manufacturing space requirements. Site selection for fuel cell companies will continue to vary on a company-by-company basis, but executives should carefully consider several primary categories impacting production cost and talent retention that will be most important to gain strategic advantage in the marketplace, including:
Despite these general characteristics for manufacturing and R&D centers, several companies have developed more specialized and innovative manufacturing strategies. MTI Micro, a developer of Direct Methanol Fuel Cells for mobile devices, decided to outsource its manufacturing to Flextronics, an electronics manufacturing services provider. This partnership has allowed MTI Micro to focus on improving its technology while taking advantage of the manufacturing expertise and infrastructure of Flextronics. In contrast to the proximity between R&D Centers and manufacturing facilities enjoyed by most fuel cell companies, MTI Micro’s headquarters is in Albany, New York while Flextronics is utilizing its Product Introduction Center in San Jose, California for manufacturing. As fuel cell companies, particularly those entering the consumer electronics and mobile markets, commercialize their products, agreements of this nature may become more common. Summary Fuel cell technologies are among the most promising renewable energy technologies being developed today. Unlike traditional energy sources, fuel cells can provide extremely clean, reliable electricity for a variety of applications ranging from cell phones to cargo ships, but their short term success is much more dependent on successful commercialization of promising technologies than many other renewable energy technologies. Industry executives seeking a successful expansion or site selection will pay most attention to strategically supporting those characteristics which cannot be recreated with marginally lower operating costs – retaining employees with specialized knowledge, building strategic industry and customer partnerships, and reaping specialized fuel cell incentives from state governments. Through these efforts, executives can help their companies to commercialize technologies while becoming more competitive in the renewable energy market.
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